Wet season of '05
Do you remember the 2005 storm season?
All told, over 50 inches of rain fell between the start of June and the end of October (2005) in Big Cypress National Preserve.
There is a rule in south Texas: .
Your passport into the water cycle. See the Kissimmee, Lake Okeechobee, the Everglades, Big Cypress Swamp (and more) through the eyes of a hydrologist.
Do you remember the 2005 storm season?
All told, over 50 inches of rain fell between the start of June and the end of October (2005) in Big Cypress National Preserve.
There is a rule in south Texas:
By
Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Texas, Sailing Uncharted Waters, Tales of the Water Cycle
Here's an update on rainfall in Big Cypress National Preserve through the first half of the wet season.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Vortex Into Water Data
Here's an update on the Battle of the Droughts between the Hoovers:
Herbert Hoover Dike's Lake Okeechobee has begun to rebound out of its record low territory. Yes, it made it a full 500 days (and running) below 11 ft above sea level. But that streak could be days away from coming to an end.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Sailing Uncharted Waters
What happens when you get lots of rain, all year around, that just sits there, until it slowly percolates through the soil, leaching away the nutrients, and creating hard clay at the soils surface, plus a regular fire regime?

Interestingly, I noticed earlier this summer that carnivorous plants were prominently featured in floral shops in Belgium. 
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Texas, Sailing Uncharted Waters
The Neches River has an impressive saltwater barrier near its mouth at Beaumont, Texas.
Saltwater historically didn't reach that far up into the river, but construction of a barge canal between the Sabine and Neches, providing access for large ships from the Gulf of Mexico, opened the door for the saltwater wedge to reach farther inland. 
A temporary barrier, put in and taken out seasonally, had been used to correct the problem for the past few decades, but finally in 2003 the new permanent structure was completed, in cooperation between the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the Lower Neches Valley Authority.
Could such a structure be in store in the future for the Caloosahatchee in response to sea level rise?
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Texas, Sailing Uncharted Waters
Lake Okeechobee did it:
But at least for now, the Lake appears to be taking the high road.
Photos were taken earlier this summer in eastern Belgium
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Vortex Into Water Data
Here's a few photos and some data on Town Bluff Dam.


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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Texas, Sailing Uncharted Waters
When does it rain in The Big Thicket?

As usual, the US Geological Survey has been monitoring flows going back decades. That makes The Big Thicket another fascinating place to track the water cycle.
It's current flow rate is around 2,000 cfs -- thanks to discharges from the upstream BA Steinhagen Reservoir, maintained by the US Army Corps of Engineers for, among other things, water supply for downstream Beaumont.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Texas, Sailing Uncharted Waters
Here's an up-to-date graph showing location of the wetting front in Big Cypress National Preserve relative to last year, the 10-year average, and some recent years of note (2005, 1998, and 1995).
It's only July and the pinelands have already gotten had their feet wet for a half month.
During the typical year, the wetting front moves up into the pinelands for about a 3-month span, usually between August and November.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Vortex Into Water Data
The recent storm momentarily turned Henderson back into a roaring creek, at least at the tailwater pool of the structure.
What's interesting is that water is flowing in from all directions; from both Henderson Creek Canal -- over its spillway and through its gate, and also from the Tamiami Trail Canal, especially from the east.
That makes me wonder if and how flows can be monitored during such an event. My understanding is that the rating curves are based on flow going over the spillway and gate.
But I may be wrong: I'll have to double check with collegues on that.
And as for the bubbles. That's from all the turbulence churning up the water, probably not unlike what you see at the seashore. But the presence of bubbles, especially ones that hang around, is also an artifact of the chemical composition of the water. I'll have to do some more research on that too.
This video -- or at least the version I uploaded -- is a little grainy, and I was hoping to put a more thorough video together on it to show the water from all angles, but this will do for now. I shot it on Friday.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Water in motion
Fourth horseman rides into southwest Florida
After being away, out of south Florida, for the past couple weeks, I was eager to get back and crunch the data to see where everything was at.
But by Monday morning I saw that the sky had something else in mind. Namely, lots of clouds, all day, and a thorough drenching … for four days straight.
No, it didn’t have rotation, or not much, and could not muster much wind, or thunder, let alone lightening … but chalk it up as a rainmaker to remember. And now it’s headed up north toward Lanier. When it’s all said and done, it could kill two birds (i.e., end two droughts - southwest Florida and southeast US) with a single stone. That’s a bad saying, but you know what I mean.
Do you remember the meager dry season of 2 inches per month rains, with 3 inches considered wet, at least relative to the dry season average.
Compare that to the Kissimmee, and the Lake, and the east coast that have been in wet season mode, but not the chart topping rains we’ve seen on the southwest corner of the peninsula.
swept through in late July of 2006.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Rain Or Shine Report
There's been some fanfare surrounding the Lake's rise back above 10 ft. (view article)
But the bigger news to me -- or at least the one that I've been eyeing for the past half year -- is the Lake's close in on 500 days below the 11 ft mark.
The Lake is now one week away from making it to 500 days below the 11 ft mark.
What's the significance of 11 ft?
That's the level below which most of the wetlands inside the interior walls of the levee go dry.
Below 10 ft, even the deeper potholes go dry.
So yes, the rise above 10 ft is significant; especially with it coming so early in the wet season.
Last year, it took all the way until October -- the very end of the wet season -- for the Lake to squeek above 10. The talk of the peninsula was that it could drop below 8 feet, even lower, before the wet season was throught.
But that dire prediciton never came true:
The Lake flat-lined at right around 10 ft for the next 6 months, until early May, thanks to a surprisingly wet dry season. I say surprising because the La Nina was supposed to make it a dry dry season.
How does this the Lake's current streak below 11 ft compare to the 2001 drought?
In 2001, the Lake fell below the 11 ft mark for just over 200 days. That makes the current streak already twice as long as 2001, not to mention longer than a full calender year.
It will be interesting to see how much rain the Lake gets out of the depression that's dropped so much rain in southwest Florida over the past few days. The forecasters mentioned it could pass over the Kissimmee Valley as it moves north.
You can view a historical calendar of Lake stage, color coded relative to its position in the littoral zone, from the 1930s to present.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Vortex Into Water Data
There's a saying that all good things must come to an end.
And sadly, that's a saying that especially applies to vacations ...
and also when visiting with family and friends.
The water cycle -- no matter where you are or where you go -- is the show that never ends.
Whether in Belgium or south Florida, or anywhere else for that matter, tracking the water cycle is as good a way as there is to stay connected to the places that we live and work and try to make sense of.
The Sonoran Desert's 10 inches of rain per year seems to pale in comparison.
Unless of course its monsoon season, which is exactly what season it is now, from July to September, when storms sweep up from the south from Sea of Cortez, dry arroyo beds rumble alive with rolling water fed from the foothills above, and riparian river beds fill to their banks with mountain charged groundwater seepage where once was just a trickle.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters

eaves burst forth.
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Jim Snyder
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Labels: Native Plant Photos
It turns out that The Gileppe has a twin just a couple ten kilometers away: Le Barrage de la Vespre.
It’s about 50 years old, young compared The Gileppe, but still old in water years.
And it is a more modern style concrete arch dam, unlike the earthen fill of The Gileppe.
Fortunately, we were with a savvy driver, who was able to weave us into obscure roadlets with better-than-we-bargained-for views that a fresh-off-the-boat tourist would never manage to find … at least intentionally.
As much as I’ve enjoyed riding a bike in Belgium, I would be very hesitant to drive there.
Yes, drivers generally move faster, and more aggressively, especially during straight-aways, and the roads – and the lanes – are much narrower and curvier (thus explaining the penchant for speeding up for straight-aways).
And yes, in terms of navigating on a road, you don’t so much head out in a direction as you go from point to point.
And yes, above all it’s unfamiliar terrain – despite the wise tale that says you are most likely to get into an accident within a 2-mile radius of your home. 
But none of those reasons bothers me much.
But “The Rule of the Right” does.
The primary rule of engagement of the roadways is an unintuitive principle called “The Rule of the Right.” I should probably rephrase that: the rule was unintuitive to me, as I think it would be to most non-Belgians. But for Belgians, it’s hardwired in their driving DNA.
The corollary to the rule is that there are no stop signs in Belgium.
But who needs them with “The Rule of the Right.” So long as you know (remember, detect) that at the intersection of any two roads, no matter how big small or hard to see, the vehicle turning right always has the right of way … then there really is no reason to stop.
Not only is there not a reason to stop, there’s also a disincentive to not stop, or even slow down.
The Rule of the Right originally came with a caveat that if you stopped or hesitated, or in some inner circles of aggressive drivers, even blinked you eyes – you forfeited your priority to turn.
Over the years, this hesitation caveat inspired drivers to be even more aggressive in order not to lose priority. The hesitation caveat also tended to make fender benders more difficult to resolve (did he pause or didn’t he), not to mention making the roadways considerably more dangerous: a flinch from one car would be answered with an acceleration from the other, or alternatively, encouraging drivers to blind turn to the right without consideration that the on-coming straight-away car (or truck or tractor) may not even see them.
Fortunately, law makers stepped in to save to the day with recent elimination of the “no pause” rule. (It’s the talk of the town). Now, even if you pause, you still retain your priority to turn right – if you dare.
I’m sure I could master the Rule of the Right for a short simple trip, from point A to point B; but during the course of a longer trip, or if I lost my way and way trying to find a particular spot, I’m sure that I would lapse into straight-away priority mindset: and what to they say about accidents … it only takes one accident to erase a thousand did-it-safelys. (Actually, I just made that up).
But even if I did eventually get the Rule of the Right down pat, there is the constant threat of the road detour arrows.
In fact, the road detour arrow is a ubiquitous feature of the roadway, as common as stop signs in America.
You’ll rarely find a flagmen in Belgium waving an alternating flow of one-way traffic by the construction zone: they just detour you a country mile (in this case a country kilometer) around the work through a labyrinth of winding roads, never without a good half dozen arrows, on a scenic tour to see more cows.
That’s easy – if also annoying – for the locals, but for an out-of-towner (or even further away) like me, it takes a couple ten detours to get the mental map reoriented again.
If only those cows could tell directions. 
And then finally the detour arrows spill you back on the main route … and remember, your Rule of the Right priority fully intact.
Just in time for another rotary!
Did I mention the rotaries?
Traffic engineers love rotaries: they are an efficient and self-regulating way to maintain orderly traffic flow at multi-road intersections, particularly where traffic volumes are higher, … and without the need for stop signs.
As you can imagine, rotaries are a common sight in Belgium, with an extremely tight radius for turning.
And rotaries are the only place that the Rule of the Right does not apply.
And did I mention you cannot turn right on red at a stop light, not even if you stop.
Go figure.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
The source of the Nile? That would be Lake Victoria.
The source of the Meuse? That would be the Hautes Fagnes.
Whenever you have high ground with lots of rain or snow falling on it, it is the headwater source of the springs, creeks, and rivers that flow in the valley below.
In the case of the Meuse, the term “source” is a bit of a misnomer. It’s recharged with water along its entire watershed – through groundwater seepage and tributary channels – not just conveying water from some upstream font.
And where the plateau drops into valleys is often where you find some pretty steep crevasses, which from a water supply standpoint are strategic places for building dams.
The Gileppe is one such dam. It is located at the edge of the plateau (of the Hautes Fagnes) meets the valley below, just uphill of the small Belgian city of Eupen.
What’s incredible about The Gileppe is not that it is 1 kilometer wide, or 2.5 kilometers thick, or that it has a sculpture of a giant lion that sits at its rim overlooking into the valley below, or that it has a +200 ft tall viewing tower overlooking the reservoir and dam (sadly the viewing tower was closed on Mondays, which was the day we visited): But that it was built in 1867! *
I’m no dam historian – or barrages as they call them in Belgium, but 1867 pre-dates the Hamilton Disston’s inaugural drainage of the untamed Everglades.
Even the dams in Europe are ancient!
* The barrage was enlarged in the early 1970s to its current dimension.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
You always hear that there is only one Everglades, and yes that is probably the case.
But the Hautes Fagnes, like the Moors of England, and other wetland systems throughout the world, have their similarities … and are each unique in their own way.
The views from the Hautes Fagnes are spectacular: and you don’t need a viewing tower to see them.
That’s because they are located on the highest point in Belgium, and – as I mentioned before – its wettest.
They crest in height at the Signal de Botrage, located at 694 meters above sea level. That’s a big leap up from Florida’s 1-3 meters above sea level marshes.
Not only does it offer scenic views, the high plateau is the “rain maker” of the Hautes Fagnes. The high plateau is the first topographic obstacle that coastal storms encounter as they flow onshore across mainland Europe. That orthographically forces the clouds to move higher in the sky, where they cool and condense, bringing 55 inches and over 200 days of rain to the Hautes Fagnes per year. If you add in cloudy days, you can count your lucky stars to catch a glimpse of blue sky up the high fens.
The dominant grass is purple-moor grass. It out competes other specialized species, forming a monoculture of hummocky and rolling prairie. Sounds sort of like the Everglades’ sawgrass.
The dominant tree is spruce, and it also forms a monoculture of its own kind. But don’t confuse it with the slash pines of the Everglades, because spruce is not a natural tree for Belgium, let alone the Hautes Fagnes.
Spruce was brought in generations ago for its agricultural yield as a timber crop, and in the Hautes Fagnes, that involved drainage.
Now that does sound like the Everglades!
A big part of managing the Hautes Fagnes is keeping them free of spruce: not only in terms of their footprint, but also in terms of their impact on the natural water cycle of the adjacent fens.
Controlling the spruce is probably not unsimilar to our efforts to keep maleleuca out of the Everglades. But in this case, the spruce are still retained for commercial timber production, right next door to the fens on the other side of the drainage ditch.
I’d like to find out more and spend more time roaming aimlessly on the open tranquil pathways of the Hautes Fagnes. Cobble paths of what I assume is native stone gives way to winding rail-less wooden boardwalks … probably made from the nearby spruce, but that’s just a guess.
Why do my most memorable hikes always involve rain: and not being adequately prepared, but forging ahead any how?
In this case, with storm clouds rolling up the valley in waves – unleashing their rain as they rise to the top, the prudent decision was to turn back … especially without proper rain gear.
Yes, if you want to be truly beautiful, you’ve got to walk through the rain, but not a cold wind-driven Belgium rain on the Hautes Fagnes! For that you need good rain gear from head to toe, and something “more substantial” than an order of frittes in your belly.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
Here’s a quick comparison of average rainfall in Belgium versus south Florida.
The Belgium data is for the whole country, as listed on a tourism pamphlet … so it’s not definitive – and probably for Brussells, but it provides at least a nice ball park comparison.
Belgium’s rainiest month, on average, is August, with just under 4 inches. As for its lowest month? That’s hard to discern – an average of 2 and 3 inches falls every month.
That’s a big difference from the bimodal pattern in south Florida: around 8 inches during the summer months and around 2 inches in the winter months.
But hold the press!
There’s one spot it Belgium that rivals Florida rainfall with a whopping 55 inches of rain per year.
And don’t forget the difference in latitude in terms of sun strength.
That means that quite a bit more of that 55 inches in Belgium stays on and seeps down into the watershed, as opposed to the high evaporation losses in Florida.
It’s called the Hautes Fagnes (High Fens)
… and sometimes called the “Everglades of Belgium.”
By the way, some Belgians refer to the Everglades as the “Hautes Fagnes of Florida.”
More on the Hautes Fagnes later.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
Turns out that I’ve under estimated Belgium’s water cycle.
Yes, Florida has its four horsemen – and yes they are scary – and yes they delivery more rain over the course of the year than in Belgium. And yes, I also mentioned (now I know mistakenly) that Belgium's rain delivery wagon is pulled by the equivalent of ponies in comparison.
But if we have our umbrella season, typically around 4 months long; Belgium has its umbrella year.
On any given day it can rain, and the rain – when it comes – can come out of nowhere, and rain in cold torrents. That’s a big difference from the well telegraphed storms we see in south Florida, the ones that you can see coming from miles away.
And then when you’ve pretty much given up on the day – and called in a “rain out” – and sought refuge at a nearby House of Frittes*, the clouds part and an incredible sky of blue shines through, at least for the moment.
(*Frites are French fries, but I’m constantly reminded around here that it’s Belgium, not France, that is famous for its fries, and by most accounts invented them. Frites stands are all over the place, and they come in all shapes and sizes, and are most popularly eaten with mayonnaise.)
And the toughest decision a Belgian faces each day?
That would be what to wear!
But part of that is a recent wrinkle to Belgium’s weather chart.
A decade ago rains were more telegraphed – the classic cirrus, stratus, cumulus transition that gave you a solid few days of rain. Thanks to a shift in the Gulf Stream, those fabled “Belgium rains” been replaced in part with “England style” rains where waves of clouds and patches of blue sweep through at a harrying speed … and leave you guessing all day long what it will do next.
The saying: “if you don’t like the weather just wait 5 minutes … because it’s sure to change,” applies no place better than Belgium. Especially when these depressions move through.
And after 2 weeks of very warm days – and granted, I call them warm, but I’ve been wearing long pants every day: the past week has been sweater and jacket weather.
As 10-year veteran of south Florida’s climate, I’m inclined to borrow from Mark Twain’s famous quib about San Francisco summers, that “the coldest winter I’ve spent in 10 years is a summer in Belgium.” Even on cold winter days in south Florida I usually end up in shorts by mid day.
And as for the storms not being strong: I have to scratch that assumption off the list as well.
A cold front moved through from the west and brought with it booming thunder that rattled windows, and filled the rain barrels up on short order.
And did I mention the wind. That’s what you need the jacket for, because it will blow right through a sweater, not to mention when the sweater is damp with rain.
And did I mention when that cold front started to overtake the sky that I was a good ten to twenty kilometers from home, on a bike, without a cell phone, and no map, and not even sure if I was in Belgium – Germany and Netherlands are nearby.
The good news is that there are lots of train tunnels to take refuge in … or should I rather say: car tunnels under a train overcrossings. That would be just down right silliness to hide in a train tunnel. And there were enough patches of daylight inside the waves of rain clouds to get me home at least partially dry.
But mostly wet!
You can’t understand Belgium until you’ve gotten soaken wet in its rain. That’s a nod to the famous Belgium saying that “if you want to be truly beautiful, you’ve got to walk in the rain.”
I’m not sure if it also applies to bike riding.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium
Here is a photo of one of the two big rivers in Belgium – La Meuse – taken from a bridge in the city of Liège.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
This American Flag is an original from the USS Pensacola.The owner of the place we are renting over here in Belgium served in the Belgian Navy – and since retiring has stayed active as a volunteer, and during a good will visit to the Norfolk Naval Base was bestowed an American Flag from the USS Pensacola.
He hoisted the flag all day on the 4th of July in commemoration of our US holiday.
It was my impression that he did it every year, but was especially pleased this year to have visiting Americans – from Florida no less.
(Eyes light up around here when you tell them you’re from Florida.)
He is of the generation of Belgians with vivid memories of American GIs liberating the country during World War II – The Battle of the Bulge to be specific. He mentioned that it was American GIs that first introduced him as a boy to chewing gum and to white bread, and that the Americans provided medical services in the wake of devastation from the war.
He also expressed concern over the plummeting value of the US Dollar – some of which he owns as part of his financial portfolio.
“Not to worry,” I said – “my financial portfolio is 100 percent US Dollars. My recommendation is to buy them now while you can because the long view is their value is sure to rise”.
Buy low, sell high: that’s an axiom, like many, that’s easier said than done.
In the meanwhile I’ve been trying to buy as little as possible because the weak dollar makes everything 50 percent more expensive than the price tag reads in Euros. Of course there is no escaping drinking water, but I’ve been drinking for free from the tap.
And there is no mistaking good hospitality: this year’s 4th of July will be one that I will remember fondly and with special meaning.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
Not too far from the US Mail mailbox I found an arrow sign demarked with “US Cemetery.”
The cemetery and memorial are dedicated to 7,989 US Soldiers, most of whom died while liberating the hill top on September 12, 1944 during German counter-offensive in the Ardennes popularly known as the “Battle of the Bulge”.



The pillars of the monument “are engraved with the seals of the wartime 48 states, 3 territories, and the District of Columbia”. 
Florida was easy to find – it has a very distinctive seal – but my native state of Maryland proved to be the hardest. I almost gave up trying to find it, but vowed not to stop looking until I succeeded, even with rain clouds gliding in across the Berwinne Valley. 
But back to the engraved seals. All the other states and territories had their names clearly spelled out around the rim of the seal.
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
About half way between Lontzen and Montzen, not too far from the German border -- on a mapless bike ride over the hilly terrain of eastern Belgium, I caught a glimpse of this mailbox out of the corner of my eye.

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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: East Belgium, Sailing Uncharted Waters
June rains mostly average
Rain Or Shine Report for July 1
Have the Four Meteorological Horsemen of south Florida’s atmosphere “gone out to pasture”?
It’s still too early to tell:
But word in from the wire is that this year’s June rainfall totals is … we were right around normal for most basins.
The Enhanced Sea Breeze typically does “go out to pasture” – at least to a degree – once we move solidly into July. That’s a result of more homogenous air blowing into the upper atmosphere off the Bermuda High and the westerly blowing Jet Stream moving farther north.
So June is a critical rainfall month – especially coming off of an extended drought – for getting a “fast start out of the gate” to the wet season.
Big Cypress National Preserve lead the way with 10.6 inches of rain, and the southwest Coast was also above 10 inches for the month, which may seem like a lot; but keep in mind that both areas average right around 10.5 inches of June rain.
Compare that to Lake Okeechobee that only received 7.1 inches of June rain.
That would be down right droughty for June in The Big Cypress, but not for The Lake: the 10-year June average over Okeechobee is right around 7 inches.
Why the drop off over the Lake?
The land surface heating and convectional updraft of air that is the basic building block of the Enhanced Sea Breeze is dampened by the cooler temperatures of the Lake’s surface.
But to answer the original question:
No, the horsemen are not out to pasture.
And the horsemen are not ponies (as shown in the photos)!
At least in Florida they are not … but in Belgium, maybe rains are a little more like ponies.
When it rains in Belgium, it’s generally just another gloomy (boring) day that you’re stuck inside, and even when its not raining there are enough clouds in the sky to keep you on the inside looking out.
But when one of the Four Horsemen rides across Florida: I wouldn’t classify it as a gloomy affair, it’s down right scary. The sky blackens, winds swirl and lightening crashes: you don’t so much “go inside” as you “take cover”. 
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Robert V. Sobczak
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Labels: Rain Or Shine Report